New listings fell from 34 to 25 as winter sets in, but pendings held at 31 and a Palmer home sold over list in a single day. Here is what that means heading into the cold months.
Everything below is pulled straight from this week's numbers and this week's tip.
Watch on YouTubeFigures cover the week of November 8, 2026.
| Metric | Prior Week | This Week | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Listings | 34 | 25 | Down 9 |
| Average List Price | $498,000 | $469,000 | Down $29,000 |
| Pendings | 32 | 31 | Down 1 |
| Closed | 29 | 25 | Down 4 |
| Active Inventory | 574 | 562 | Down 12 |
New listings fell by about a quarter in one week. That is November doing what November does. Sellers who do not have to move usually wait for spring. The number that matters is pendings, and pendings barely moved. The buyers did not leave with the listings.
That is $24,000 more for the average house, roughly 5 percent, on 1,167 sales. Sales are running a little under last year, but not by much.
Borough wide the picture is the same or better. Sales are actually up a little from this point last year, and the average price has climbed to $454,000. Days on market is running about the same.
Year to date figures as Marty reported them in this week's video.
Bars are scaled to sale price. Price it right and it moves. Price it high and buyers will negotiate, or wait you out.
NOAA is calling for a strong El Nino, maybe one of the strongest on record. Its October 15 outlook leans warmer than normal for parts of mainland Alaska and drier for most of it. That is not a promise. A warmer winter here can mean more freeze and thaw, and more ice. One forecast Marty saw has it warm all the way through January, then colder than normal in February.
The Vistaridge home went over list in one day. The Hatcher Pass home listed at $725,000 and closed at $675,000. Price right and homes still move. Price high and you may sit for a while, and buyers are going to negotiate.
Keep the driveway plowed, the walks sanded, and the heat on. A buyer walking in from a cold day does not think highly of a cold house.
Fewer new listings means less to pick through, but pendings held at 31. Other buyers are still writing offers.
Use the cold. Look at the ice dams, the driveway, the windows and the window sills. See how warm the house stays and what it costs to heat. You will know what you are getting.
If a home is priced right, it sells. If it's priced high, expect to negotiate.
Wet, heavy snow, big winds, and maybe a freeze and thaw winter. Here is what Marty is watching for, at your house and at his own office.
Wet, heavy snow adds up on a roof very quickly. Clear it off before it gets too heavy, and after a big wind, check your roofing and siding and fix anything before it leaks. Tie down whatever can blow away.
If you have heat tape in your crawl space, make sure it is plugged in before winter hits. A frozen pipe can cause a lot of damage. If a house is sitting empty, have someone check on it, or better, house sit it.
Ice dams and icicles along the eaves usually mean heat is getting out of the house. It is worth fixing, and if you are buying, it tells you something about the house you are looking at.
I actually have to watch for that right here at my office. I need to fix some of it. It's worth fixing.
Marty Van DiestPick anyone on the Valley Market team at valleymarket.com and get a straight answer on where your house stands, cold weather and all. No pitch, no pressure.
“We care about our clients long term. We will help you, not sell you.”